Why so many predictions fail—but some don't.
Nate Silver
Explains the two systems that drive the way we think.
Daniel Kahneman
Adventures in the Margin of Error
Kathryn Schulz
How Randomness Rules Our Live
Leonard Mlodinow
The Computer Science of Human Decisions
Brian Christian and Tom Griffiths
The Story of Success
Malcolm Gladwell
The New Science of Cause and Effect
Judea Pearl
The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Big Data, New Data, and What the Internet Can Tell Us About Who We Really Are
Seth Stephens-Davidowitz
The Power of Mathematical Thinking
Jordan Ellenberg
A Rogue Economist Explores the Hidden Side of Everything
by Steven D. Levitt and Stephen J. Dubne
A Friendship That Changed Our Minds
Michael Lewis